Wireless-Only Majority by 2015?

We’ve just updated all our numbers on the trend toward “wireless-only” households, and the results are startling.

Based on our projections, the US will be a majority “wireless-only” nation by sometime in 2015.  We also took US Census projections of population changes to 2060 and estimate that we’ll be 70% wireless-only by 2020 and over 80% wireless-only by 2030.

The basis of these projections involves some guesswork, but here’s one reason why we might be underestimating:

Once most of the people you know no longer have a home telephone, why would you?

As the nation goes progressively wireless-only, how are we going to reach these people in an emergency?  WEA/IPAWS is certainly one answer, but cannot be used for many of the messages sent out by emergency managers.

We need to get people registered.

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